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Assofermet Acciai: ltalian market awakens amid protectionism, announced pricehikes-Casting Exhibition-The 26th China(Guangzhou) International Casting Products ,foundry Industry Exhibition 11/11/2025 铸件展-铸件展会-casting expo-casting exhibition |
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In recent weeks, the ltalian steel market has shown an unexpected revival, driven by the tightening of trade andeconomic protectionist measures. Buying interest has returned significantly, with renewed dynamism both fromend-users and from service centers specializing in carbon flat products, according to the market report datedNovember 6 from Assofermet, the association representing ltalian companies involves in the trade, distributionand processing of steel, scrap and non-ferrous metals.
The upturn was mainly triggered by concerns over rising duties and the introduction of costs linked to theCarbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM), as well as by fears of stricter import quotas on raw materialsMany operators have therefore brought forward their purchases for the coming months in an effort to hedgeagainst the price increases already announced by European mils. This behavior contributed to a temporarimprovement in shipments during October, although early November has been marked by a slowdown indemand and a renewed sense of caution.
Overall, the situation remains complex. While rising prices are supporting producers'' margins, they also riskundermining the competitiveness of the European manufacturing industry - especially if trade barriers are notextended to finished or steel-intensive products. Without coordinated action at the EU level, Assofermet warnsthere is a real risk of structural damage to the continent''s industrial base.
Meanwhile, European mills, backed by the existing customs barriers, are maintaining the announced priceincreases for deliveries scheduled in 2026, despite persistently weak demand. October closed with volumesbelow expectations and price levels insufficient to ensure satisfactory profitability, while domestic competitionremains intense. However, the outlook for the coming months could mark a turning point, supported by theexpected reduction in import volumes and by early purchasing activity driven by requlatory uncertainty.In the stainless steel flat segment, the situation remains uneven: October recorded a modest recovery in longproducts, while difficulties persist for flats and tubulars. The construction sector is showing early signs ofimprovement, sustained by stronger demand for reinforcing bar and welded mesh, with prices graduallyconsolidating.
For ready-stock distributors, interest in European-origin material continues to arow, with domestic productionnow perceived as more competitive and stable than imports. Availability remains ample, yet some buyers arealready reporting requests for slight price increases for 2026 - in line with the overall upward trend and within astil-weak but steady demand environment. As regards imports, pressure persists to ship volumes within the firsthalf of next year, ahead of the enforcement of new, more restrictive safeguard measures.
In the tinplate segment, Assofermet highlights a steady increase in interest for EU-origin production, which iscurrently benefiting from greater stability and a competitive edge over imported material. initial requests forslight price hikes in 2026 have already emerged, with availability expected to remain adequate thanks to theslowdown in domestic demand. At the same time, imports continue to push for deliveries within the firstsemester, in an effort to anticipate the entry into force of the upcoming European protection measures
Overall, November appears likely to be a transitional phase for the steel sector: the combination of protectionistpolicies, environmental costs, and macroeconomic instability is reshaping purchasing strategies along the entiresupply chain. Ahead of the industry fair in Maastricht scheduled for November 18-20, market participants seethe coming weeks as a crucial period for discussion and assessment - to determine whether the recentrebound marks the beginning of a genuine trend reversal or merely a brief pause in an otherwise uncertain yearfor the European steel industry.
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