December Comex High Grade Copper futures are trading higher shortly before the regular session opening on Monday. The market is bounding after testing a key retracement zone. A weaker dollar is helping to make dollar-denominated copper a more attractive investment.
Daily Technical Analysis
The main trend is up according to the daily swing chart. Today¡¯s session begins with the market down ten days from the October 16 high. This puts it in the window of time for a potentially bullish closing price reversal bottom.
The main range is $2.9260 to $3.2595. Its retracement zone is $3.0930 to $3.0535. Friday¡¯s low fell inside this zone at $3.0730. Since the main trend is up, buyers may be stepping in on a test of the retracement zone.
The new short-term range is $3.2595 to $3.0730. If there is a technical bounce to the upside then look for a possible rally into its 50% level at $3.1665. This is a key target because it can be used to form a secondary lower top.
Daily Forecast
Based on the current price at $3.1075 and the earlier price action, the direction of the copper market today is likely to be determined by trader reaction to the 50% level at $3.0930.
A sustained move over $3.0930 will indicate the presence of buyers. If this move starts to generate upside momentum then look for a possible move into $3.1665 over the near-term.
A sustained move under $3.0930 will signal the presence of sellers. The first target is a low at $3.0730, followed by a Fibonacci level at $3.0535. The daily chart opens up to the downside under this level so be prepared for a possible acceleration to the downside.
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