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Ningxia Xinri Hengli Steel Wire Rope Co. Ltd. :600165-CN: Earnings Analysis: Q3, 2017 By the Nu- The 19th China (Guangzhou) Int¡¯l Plate metal, Bar, wire, Metal Processing &Setting Equipment Exhibition
11/14/2017  plate metal expo-wire expo
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Ningxia Xinri Hengli Steel Wire Rope Co. Ltd. reports financial results for the quarter ended September 30, 2017.

We analyze the earnings along side the following peers of Ningxia Xinri Hengli Steel Wire Rope Co. Ltd. ¨C Guizhou Wire Rope Co., Ltd. Class A, Henan Hengxing Science & Technology Co., Ltd. Class A and Jiangsu Fasten Co., Ltd. Class A (600992-CN, 002132-CN and 000890-CN) that have also reported for this period.

Highlights

  • Summary numbers: Revenues of CNY 576.31 million, Net Earnings of CNY 11.29 million.
  • Gross margins widened from 4.90% to 9.34% compared to the same period last year, operating (EBITDA) margins now -1.61% from 1.03%.
  • Year-on-year change in operating cash flow of 208.34% is about the same as the change in earnings, likely no significant movement in accruals or reserves.
  • Earnings growth due to contribution of one-time items.

The table below shows the preliminary results and recent trends for key metrics such as revenues and net income growth:

2017-09-30 2017-06-30 2017-03-31 2016-12-31 2016-09-30
Relevant Numbers (Quarterly)
Revenues (mil) 576.31 322.89 234.27 274.13 910.21
Revenue Growth (%YOY) -36.68 -66.12 -63.31 -36.24 248.55
Earnings (mil) 11.29 -13.66 1.58 -110.56 -28.04
Earnings Growth (%YOY) 140.28 58.99 107.88 -274.32 -168.58
Net Margin (%) 1.96 -4.23 0.68 -40.33 -3.08
EPS 0.02 -0.02 0 -0.16 -0.04
Return on Equity (%) 1.14 -1.45 0.18 -11.63 -2.84
Return on Assets (%) 1.55 -1.62 0.19 -12.02 -2.78

Access our Ratings and Scores for Ningxia Xinri Hengli Steel Wire Rope Co. Ltd.

Market Share Versus Profits

Revenues History
Earnings History

600165-CN¡¯s change in revenue this period compared to the same period last year of -36.68% is almost the same as its change in earnings, and is about average among the announced results thus far in its peer group, suggesting that 600165-CN is holding onto its market share. Also, for comparison purposes, revenues changed by 78.48% and earnings by 182.66% compared to the immediate last period.

Revenues Growth Versus Earnings Growth

Quadrant label definitions. Hover to know more

Leader, Earnings Focus, Laggard, Revenues Focus


Earnings Growth Analysis

The company¡¯s earnings growth has been influenced by the year-on-year improvement in gross margins from 4.90% to 9.34%. However the company¡¯s overhead costs have prevented it from fully capitalizing on these gross margin improvements. In fact, the company¡¯s operating margins (EBITDA margins) showed no improvement over the same period last year.

Gross Margin Versus EBITDA Margin

Quadrant label definitions. Hover to know more

Differentiated; Low Cost, Commodity; Low Cost, Commodity; High Cost, Differentiated; High Cost


Gross Margin Trend

Companies sometimes sacrifice improvements in revenues and margins in order to extend friendlier terms to customers and vendors. Capital Cube probes for such activity by comparing the changes in gross margins with any changes in working capital. If the gross margins improved without a worsening of working capital, it is possible that the company¡¯s performance is a result of truly delivering in the marketplace and not simply an accounting prop-up using the balance sheet.

Gross Margin History
Working Capital Days History

600165-CN¡¯s gross margin improvement has not produced any big difference in its working capital. Working capital days are currently -23.66, compared to last year¡¯s level of -50.92 days. This leads Capital Cube to conclude that the improvements in gross margins are likely from operating decisions and not trade-offs with the balance sheet.

Gross Margin Versus Working Capital Days

Quadrant label definitions. Hover to know more

Customer Financed, Cash Starved, Supplier Financed, Cash Rich


Cash Versus Earnings ¨C Sustainable Performance?

It is important to examine a company�s cash versus earnings numbers to gauge whether its performance is sustainable.

600165-CN¡¯s change in operating cash flow of 208.34% compared to the same period last year is about the same as its change in earnings this period. Additionally, this change in operating cash flow is about average among its peer group. This suggests that the company did not use accruals or reserves to manage earnings this period, and that, all else being equal, the earnings number is sustainable.

Operating Cash Flow Growth Versus Earnings Growth

Quadrant label definitions. Hover to know more

Cash Flow based Earnings, Likely Non-cash Earnings, Low Cash Flow Base, Likely Undeclared Earnings


Margins

The company¡¯s operating (EBIT) margins contracted from -1.09% to -1.61%. In spite of this, the company¡¯s earnings rose. This was influenced primarily by one-time items, which improved pretax margins from -2.48% to 2.80%.

EBIT Margin Versus PreTax Margin

Quadrant label definitions. Hover to know more

Operation driven Earnings, One-time Favorables, Low Earnings Base, One-time Unfavorables
EBIT Margin History
PreTax Margin History

Access our Ratings and Scores for Ningxia Xinri Hengli Steel Wire Rope Co. Ltd. -- The 19th China (Guangzhou) Int¡¯l Plate metal, Bar, wire, Metal Processing &Setting Equipment Exhibition Plate metal exhibition, Plate metal expo,2018 Plate metal exhibition,2018 Plate metal expo, Bar exhibition, Bar expo,2018 Bar exhibition,2018 Bar expo, China Bar exhibition, China Bar expo, wire exhibition, wire expo,2018 wire exhibition,2018 wire expo, Metal Processing exhibition, Metal Processing expo,2018 Metal Processing exhibition,2018 Metal Processing expo, China Metal Processing exhibition, China Metal Processing expo.

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